Nyiregyhaza vs MTK Budapest: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Balmazújvárosi Városi Sportpálya, Balmazújváros
The Footlab model makes Nyiregyhaza the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for MTK Budapest. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nyiregyhaza vs MTK Budapest?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Nyiregyhaza (1,775) and MTK Budapest (1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nyiregyhaza have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; MTK Budapest have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | MTK Budapest(away) | 1-2 | NB I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(home) | 2-1 | NB I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(away) | 0-1 | NB I |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(away) | 0-4 | NB I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Ujpest(home) | 2-1 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(home) | 2-1 | NB I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ujpest(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Puskas Academy(home) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Budapest Honved(away) | 3-3 | NB I |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 3-0 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nyiregyhaza win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 MTK Budapest win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | MTK Budapest 2-1 Nyiregyhaza | NB I |
| May 2, 2026 | MTK Budapest 1-1 Nyiregyhaza | NB I |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza 4-2 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Oct 18, 2025 | MTK Budapest 5-1 Nyiregyhaza | NB I |
| Mar 16, 2025 | MTK Budapest 3-0 Nyiregyhaza | NB I |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Nyiregyhaza 2-0 MTK Budapest | NB I |
Last archived meeting: MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nyiregyhaza score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyiregyhaza | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| MTK Budapest | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nyiregyhaza sit 7th in NB I (6 points from 5 matches) and MTK Budapest sit 4th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MTK Budapest | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 8 |
| 7 | Nyiregyhaza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nyiregyhaza vs MTK Budapest?
- The Footlab model makes Nyiregyhaza the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for MTK Budapest.
- Where and when is Nyiregyhaza vs MTK Budapest played?
- Nyiregyhaza vs MTK Budapest is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Balmazújvárosi Városi Sportpálya, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.