Ulaanbaatar vs Central Stallions: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Football Centre MFF, Ulan Bator (Ulaanbaatar)
The Footlab AI model makes Ulaanbaatar the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Central Stallions. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,481 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulaanbaatar vs Central Stallions?
Ulaanbaatar starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,751 vs 1,590).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ulaanbaatar vs Central Stallions
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ulaanbaatar
Not enough data to predict the Ulaanbaatar lineup.
Central Stallions
Not enough data to predict the Central Stallions lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 04:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulaanbaatar have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Central Stallions have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Hunters(away) | 9-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Deren(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Central Stallions(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Central Stallions(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Khovd Western(home) | 8-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Deren(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Hunters(away) | 7-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ulaanbaatar(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ulaanbaatar(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deren(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ulaanbaatar wins, 1 draw, 2 Central Stallions wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Central Stallions 0-1 Ulaanbaatar | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ulaanbaatar 2-0 Central Stallions | Premier League |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Central Stallions 1-0 Ulaanbaatar | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Ulaanbaatar 1-1 Central Stallions | Premier League |
| Jul 9, 2025 | Central Stallions 0-3 Ulaanbaatar | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Ulaanbaatar 0-3 Central Stallions | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Central Stallions vs Ulaanbaatar on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ulaanbaatar score 4.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Central Stallions score 3.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulaanbaatar | 4.0 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Central Stallions | 3.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulaanbaatar sit 1st in Premier League (31 points from 11 matches) and Central Stallions sit 2nd (25 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ulaanbaatar | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 50 | 5 | 31 |
| 2 | Central Stallions | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 14 | 25 |
A question about Ulaanbaatar vs Central Stallions?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulaanbaatar vs Central Stallions?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ulaanbaatar the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Central Stallions.
- Where and when is Ulaanbaatar vs Central Stallions played?
- Ulaanbaatar vs Central Stallions is played on November 6, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Football Centre MFF, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.