Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar: result 1-2 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 5, 2025 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ulinzi Sports Complex, Nairobi
Full time
What was the result of Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar?
Mara Sugar won 1-2 on October 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 5′621736Mara Sugar
- 33′621737Ulinzi Stars
- 72′621736Mara Sugar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulinzi Stars have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Mara Sugar have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | Police(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Shabana(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | GOR Mahia(home) | 2-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | Nairobi United(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Homeboyz(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 0-1 | Shield Cup |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 1-4 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ulinzi Stars win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Mara Sugar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Mara Sugar 1-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars 1-0 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars on May 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ulinzi Stars score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mara Sugar score 0.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulinzi Stars | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Mara Sugar | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulinzi Stars sit 13th in FKF Premier League (41 points from 34 matches) and Mara Sugar sit 11th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 37 | 41 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy