Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar: result 1-2 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 5, 2025 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ulinzi Sports Complex, Nairobi
Full time
What was the result of Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar?
Mara Sugar won 1-2 on October 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 5′621736Mara Sugar
- 33′621737Ulinzi Stars
- 72′621736Mara Sugar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulinzi Stars have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Mara Sugar have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | Police(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Shabana(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | GOR Mahia(home) | 2-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | Nairobi United(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Homeboyz(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 0-1 | Shield Cup |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 1-4 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ulinzi Stars win, 1 draw, 0 Mara Sugar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Mara Sugar 1-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars 1-0 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars on May 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ulinzi Stars score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mara Sugar score 0.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulinzi Stars | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Mara Sugar | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulinzi Stars sit 14th in FKF Premier League (6 points from 6 matches) and Mara Sugar sit 6th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mara Sugar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Ulinzi Stars | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy