Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Afraha Stadium, Nakuru
The Footlab AI model makes Migori Youth the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Ulinzi Stars. The most likely score is 0-0. If Migori Youth wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Ulinzi Stars (1,491) and Migori Youth (1,539).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ulinzi Stars
Not enough data to predict the Ulinzi Stars lineup.
Migori Youth
Not enough data to predict the Migori Youth lineup.
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulinzi Stars have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Migori Youth have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Mathare United(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | 3K(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Equity Bank(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Kisumu All Stars(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 27, 2026 | MCF(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 23, 2026 | Kibera Black Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ulinzi Stars score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Migori Youth score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulinzi Stars | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Migori Youth | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 37 | 41 |
A question about Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
- The Footlab AI model makes Migori Youth the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Ulinzi Stars.
- Where and when is Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth played?
- Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth is played on October 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Afraha Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.