Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueMatchday 7Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
Match postponed, new date to be confirmed
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nairobi United have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Mara Sugar have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 2-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | APS Bomet(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Migori Youth(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Nairobi United win, 2 draws, 2 Mara Sugar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Nairobi United 1-1 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Mara Sugar 0-1 Nairobi United | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Nairobi United 1-1 Mara Sugar | Shield Cup |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Mara Sugar 1-0 Nairobi United | Super League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Nairobi United 0-2 Mara Sugar | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar on Apr 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nairobi United score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mara Sugar score 0.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nairobi United | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Mara Sugar | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nairobi United sit 15th in FKF Premier League (5 points from 6 matches) and Mara Sugar sit 6th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mara Sugar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Nairobi United | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy