UNA vs FC Lisse: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Zeelst, Veldhoven
The Footlab model makes FC Lisse the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for UNA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UNA vs FC Lisse?
FC Lisse starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UNA have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FC Lisse have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 30, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Meerssen(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aalsmeer(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 UNA win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FC Lisse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | UNA 0-2 FC Lisse | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Nov 29, 2025 | FC Lisse 1-1 UNA | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FC Lisse 0-1 UNA | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 8, 2024 | UNA 1-4 FC Lisse | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
UNA score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Lisse score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNA | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Lisse | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UNA sit 11th in Derde Divisie (2 points from 2 matches) and FC Lisse sit 3rd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Lisse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | UNA | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UNA vs FC Lisse?
- The Footlab model makes FC Lisse the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for UNA.
- Where and when is UNA vs FC Lisse played?
- UNA vs FC Lisse is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Zeelst, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.