Zwaluwen vs TOGB: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Zwaluwenlaan, Vlaardingen
The Footlab AI model makes Zwaluwen the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for TOGB. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zwaluwen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zwaluwen vs TOGB?
On Elo ratings, Zwaluwen has 1,765 points and TOGB 1,693.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zwaluwen vs TOGB
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zwaluwen
4-3-3- 9J. van Mullem
- 8Robin Hofman
- 17Ricardo Merrelaar
- 13Jesper Gudde
- 2Mario Nijgh
- 10Jerry Scholman
- 16D. van Rijn
- 4Vincent van Dorp
- 3L. Krznaric
- 6Erwin de Groot
- 23Marvin van Tienen
TOGB
4-3-3- 7M. Le Fevre
- 9A. Bensalah
- 19M. El Yakoubi
- 21T. Azaroiali
- 6J. Zandbergen
- 8L. Zwarteveld
- 3G. Zandbergen
- 5M. van der Elst
- 13F. Eijgenraam
- 15J. Weegman
- 1M. Zwartveld
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zwaluwen have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; TOGB have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Purmersteijn(home) | 0-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Lisse(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 4-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 4-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Zwaluwen wins, 1 draw, 1 TOGB win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Zwaluwen 0-1 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Nov 29, 2025 | TOGB 4-4 Zwaluwen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
Zwaluwen score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; TOGB score 2.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zwaluwen | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| TOGB | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zwaluwen sit 6th in Derde Divisie (16 points from 9 matches) and TOGB sit 15th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Zwaluwen vs TOGB?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zwaluwen vs TOGB?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zwaluwen the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for TOGB.
- Where and when is Zwaluwen vs TOGB played?
- Zwaluwen vs TOGB is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Zwaluwenlaan, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.