Union Brescia vs Arzignano Valchiampo: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 13Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
The Footlab model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Arzignano Valchiampo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Brescia vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Union Brescia (1,863) and Arzignano Valchiampo (1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Brescia have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Arzignano Valchiampo have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 3, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Union Brescia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Arzignano Valchiampo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo 1-2 Union Brescia | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Union Brescia 1-2 Arzignano Valchiampo | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Arzignano Valchiampo vs Union Brescia on Jan 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Brescia score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Arzignano Valchiampo score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Brescia | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Arzignano Valchiampo | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Brescia sit 2nd in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Arzignano Valchiampo sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Union Brescia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Brescia vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
- The Footlab model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Arzignano Valchiampo.
- Where and when is Union Brescia vs Arzignano Valchiampo played?
- Union Brescia vs Arzignano Valchiampo is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.