Alcione vs Lumezzane: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 13Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
The Footlab AI model makes Alcione the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Lumezzane. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcione wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,782 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcione vs Lumezzane?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Alcione (1,778) and Lumezzane (1,757).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcione vs Lumezzane
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcione
4-3-3- 11F. Morselli
- 98L. Zini
- 14A. Rolfini
- 18E. Lopes
- 10J. Pitou
- 30R. Rebaudo
- 25Filippo Pirola
- 4A. Miculi
- 3P. Chierichietti
- 19N. Trapani
- 1F. Raffaelli
Lumezzane
4-3-3- 32G. Anatriello
- 9T. Ebone
- 77S. Diodato
- 19M. Rolando
- 17Sasha Mancini
- 8M. Rocca
- 30A. Boffelli
- 90S. Nwachukwu
- 21J. Deratti
- 15M. Ndiaye
- 13L. Andrenacci
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 10:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcione have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Lumezzane have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 4-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Trento(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Albinoleffe(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pergolettese(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alcione wins, 2 draws, 1 Lumezzane win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Lumezzane 0-0 Alcione | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Lumezzane 1-0 Alcione | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Alcione 1-0 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Lumezzane 1-1 Alcione | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Alcione 1-0 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Alcione 1-0 Lumezzane | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Alcione score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lumezzane score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcione | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Lumezzane | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcione sit 8th in Serie C - Girone A (15 points from 11 matches) and Lumezzane sit 12th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Alcione | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 15 |
| 12 | Lumezzane | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
A question about Alcione vs Lumezzane?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcione vs Lumezzane?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcione the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Lumezzane.
- Where and when is Alcione vs Lumezzane played?
- Alcione vs Lumezzane is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ernesto Breda, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.