Union Comercio vs Comerciantes: result 2-1 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 6Kick-off on May 11, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre García, Tarapoto
Full time
What was the result of Union Comercio vs Comerciantes?
Union Comercio won 2-1 on May 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 37′J. ArrietaUnion Comercio
- 67′G. MoralesUnion Comercio
- 81′M. LemosComerciantes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Comercio have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Comerciantes have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Academia Cantolao(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Santos(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Bentín Tacna Heroica(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Apr 12, 2025 | U. San Martin(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Deportivo Coopsol(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2025 | Deportivo Coopsol(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Apr 26, 2025 | UCV Moquegua(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Apr 20, 2025 | U. San Martin(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Academia Cantolao(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Santos(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Union Comercio score 1.2 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Comerciantes score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Comercio | 1.2 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Comerciantes | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Comercio sit 1st in Segunda División (24 points from 11 matches) and Comerciantes sit 2nd (22 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 24 |
| 2 | Comerciantes | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy