Match

Union Magdalena vs Popayan: prediction and stats

Primera BClausura - Quadrangular - 6Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta

Union MagdalenaPopayan

The Footlab AI model makes Union Magdalena the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Popayan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Union Magdalena wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,204 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Magdalena vs Popayan?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Union Magdalena (1,598) and Popayan (1,517).

45%28%27%
Union Magdalena winDrawPopayan win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Union Magdalena vs Popayan

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Union Magdalena

4-3-3
  1. 3D. Mera
  2. 26S. Franco
  3. 7R. Blanco
  1. 19F. Mosquera
  2. 16O. Surmay
  3. 14J. Farías
  1. 6D. Ortíz
  2. 25W. Sagrera
  3. 5J. Penaloza
  4. 18F. Molina
  1. 34M. Tasso

Popayan

4-3-3
  1. 18H. Mosquera
  2. 21P. Urrutia
  3. 7J. Cuero
  1. 17J. Andrade
  2. 10M. Aponza
  3. 34D. Cortes
  1. 35J. Viveros
  2. 3Kevin Hurtado
  3. 20Y. Andrade
  4. 26H. Ortiz
  1. 12E. Obando

Computed on November 9, 2026 at 10:21 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Magdalena have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Popayan have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Magdalena
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Ind. Yumbo(home)1-1Primera B
Nov 2, 2026Envigado(home)1-1Primera B
Oct 29, 2026Popayan(away)1-1Primera B
Oct 24, 2026Depor FC(home)1-0Primera B
Oct 19, 2026Internacional Palmira(away)1-0Primera B
Popayan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Envigado(home)1-0Primera B
Nov 2, 2026Ind. Yumbo(away)4-2Primera B
Oct 29, 2026Union Magdalena(home)1-1Primera B
Oct 24, 2026Internacional Palmira(home)2-1Primera B
Oct 20, 2026Ind. Yumbo(away)0-3Primera B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Union Magdalena wins, 3 draws, 1 Popayan win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 29, 2026Popayan 1-1 Union MagdalenaPrimera B
Oct 7, 2026Popayan 1-1 Union MagdalenaPrimera B
Feb 9, 2026Union Magdalena 0-2 PopayanPrimera B
Oct 22, 2024Union Magdalena 1-0 PopayanPrimera B
May 12, 2024Popayan 0-0 Union MagdalenaPrimera B
Feb 22, 2023Union Magdalena 3-0 PopayanCopa Colombia

Last archived meeting: Popayan vs Union Magdalena on Oct 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union Magdalena score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Popayan score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Union Magdalena1.31.0312/155/15
Popayan1.61.3210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Magdalena sit 3rd in Primera B (64 points from 39 matches) and Popayan sit 10th (41 points from 33 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Union Magdalena3917139533764
10Popayan33101112414341

A question about Union Magdalena vs Popayan?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Magdalena vs Popayan?
The Footlab AI model makes Union Magdalena the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Popayan.
Where and when is Union Magdalena vs Popayan played?
Union Magdalena vs Popayan is played on November 15, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sierra Nevada, in the Primera B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?