Match

Popayan vs Union Magdalena: prediction and stats

Primera BClausura - Quadrangular - 1Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali

PopayanUnion Magdalena

The Footlab AI model makes Union Magdalena the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Popayan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Union Magdalena wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,681 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Popayan vs Union Magdalena?

Union Magdalena starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,604 vs 1,483).

27%29%44%
Popayan winDrawUnion Magdalena win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Popayan vs Union Magdalena

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Popayan

4-3-3
  1. 18H. Mosquera
  2. 21P. Urrutia
  3. 7J. Cuero
  1. 17J. Andrade
  2. 34D. Cortes
  3. 10M. Aponza
  1. 26H. Ortiz
  2. 35J. Viveros
  3. 3Kevin Hurtado
  4. 20Y. Andrade
  1. 12E. Obando

Union Magdalena

4-3-3
  1. 7R. Blanco
  2. 3D. Mera
  3. 17G. Arrieta
  1. 16O. Surmay
  2. 19F. Mosquera
  3. 14J. Farías
  1. 6D. Ortíz
  2. 2M. Ballesteros
  3. 18F. Molina
  4. 25W. Sagrera
  1. 34M. Tasso

Computed on October 27, 2026 at 03:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Popayan have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Union Magdalena have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Popayan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Internacional Palmira(home)2-1Primera B
Oct 20, 2026Ind. Yumbo(away)0-3Primera B
Oct 16, 2026Depor FC(home)0-1Primera B
Oct 12, 2026Orsomarso(away)0-1Primera B
Oct 7, 2026Union Magdalena(home)1-1Primera B
Union Magdalena
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Depor FC(home)1-0Primera B
Oct 19, 2026Internacional Palmira(away)1-0Primera B
Oct 15, 2026Ind. Yumbo(home)1-1Primera B
Oct 11, 2026Leones FC(home)2-2Primera B
Oct 7, 2026Popayan(away)1-1Primera B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Popayan win, 2 draws, 3 Union Magdalena wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 7, 2026Popayan 1-1 Union MagdalenaPrimera B
Feb 9, 2026Union Magdalena 0-2 PopayanPrimera B
Oct 22, 2024Union Magdalena 1-0 PopayanPrimera B
May 12, 2024Popayan 0-0 Union MagdalenaPrimera B
Feb 22, 2023Union Magdalena 3-0 PopayanCopa Colombia
Feb 16, 2023Popayan 0-1 Union MagdalenaCopa Colombia

Last archived meeting: Popayan vs Union Magdalena on Oct 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Popayan score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Union Magdalena score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Popayan1.31.339/159/15
Union Magdalena1.11.139/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Popayan sit 12th in Primera B (34 points from 30 matches) and Union Magdalena sit 4th (61 points from 36 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Union Magdalena3617109503461
12Popayan3081012354034

A question about Popayan vs Union Magdalena?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
The Footlab AI model makes Union Magdalena the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Popayan.
Where and when is Popayan vs Union Magdalena played?
Popayan vs Union Magdalena is played on October 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, in the Primera B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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