Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Flénu: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionACFF - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Le Barca Terrein 2, Brussel
The Footlab model makes Flénu the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Union Saint-Gilloise II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Flénu?
Flénu starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,933 vs 1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Saint-Gilloise II have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Flénu have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Stockay-Warfusée(home) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Crossing Schaerbeek(away) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Standard Liège II(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Union Namur(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II(home) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Stade Verviers(home) | 3-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| May 3, 2026 | Ganshoren(home) | 4-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Raeren-Eynatten(away) | 5-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Jette(home) | 2-5 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
How many goals should we expect?
Union Saint-Gilloise II score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Flénu score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Saint-Gilloise II | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Flénu | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Union Saint-Gilloise II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Flénu?
- The Footlab model makes Flénu the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Union Saint-Gilloise II.
- Where and when is Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Flénu played?
- Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Flénu is played on December 5, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Le Barca Terrein 2, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.