Olympic Charleroi vs Rochefort: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionACFF - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Neuville, Charleroi
The Footlab model makes Rochefort the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Olympic Charleroi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympic Charleroi vs Rochefort?
Rochefort starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,803 vs 1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympic Charleroi have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Rochefort have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(away) | 0-5 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Liège(away) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 20, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 1-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Tubize(away) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 3-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Habay-la-Neuve(home) | 4-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Olympic Charleroi win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Rochefort win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2025 | Rochefort 1-1 Olympic Charleroi | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2025 | Olympic Charleroi 0-2 Rochefort | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Rochefort 0-3 Olympic Charleroi | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Rochefort 2-1 Olympic Charleroi | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Olympic Charleroi 2-3 Rochefort | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Rochefort vs Olympic Charleroi on Jul 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Olympic Charleroi score 0.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rochefort score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympic Charleroi | 0.7 | 2.3 | 0 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Rochefort | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rochefort | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympic Charleroi vs Rochefort?
- The Footlab model makes Rochefort the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Olympic Charleroi.
- Where and when is Olympic Charleroi vs Rochefort played?
- Olympic Charleroi vs Rochefort is played on December 5, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Neuville, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.