Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionACFF - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Le Barca Terrein 2, Brussel
The Footlab model makes Union Saint-Gilloise II the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Sporting Charleroi II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Union Saint-Gilloise II (1,797) and Sporting Charleroi II (1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Saint-Gilloise II have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Sporting Charleroi II have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Stockay-Warfusée(home) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Crossing Schaerbeek(away) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Standard Liège II(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Union Namur(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II(home) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Kortrijk U21(home) | 0-2 | Reserve Pro League |
| May 10, 2026 | Union Namur(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| May 8, 2026 | Francs Borains U21(away) | 5-2 | Reserve Pro League |
| May 3, 2026 | Standard Liège II(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Stockay-Warfusée(away) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Union Saint-Gilloise II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sporting Charleroi II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise II 0-3 Sporting Charleroi II | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise II | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Union Saint-Gilloise II 4-1 Sporting Charleroi II | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Sporting Charleroi II 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise II | First Amateur Division |
| May 11, 2025 | Union Saint-Gilloise II 1-3 Sporting Charleroi II | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Sporting Charleroi II 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise II | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Saint-Gilloise II score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Charleroi II score 1.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Saint-Gilloise II | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Sporting Charleroi II | 1.1 | 2.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Saint-Gilloise II sit 4th in First Amateur Division (6 points from 4 matches) and Sporting Charleroi II sit 12th (3 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Union Saint-Gilloise II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting Charleroi II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II?
- The Footlab model makes Union Saint-Gilloise II the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Sporting Charleroi II.
- Where and when is Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II played?
- Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II is played on October 17, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Le Barca Terrein 2, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.