Olympic Charleroi vs RWDM: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionACFF - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Neuville, Charleroi
The Footlab AI model makes RWDM the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Olympic Charleroi. The most likely score is 1-1. If RWDM wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympic Charleroi vs RWDM?
RWDM starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,749).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Olympic Charleroi vs RWDM
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Olympic Charleroi
4-3-3- 32J. Mbalanda
- 10R. Ion
- 9M. Omosanya
- 11L. Florică
- 17M. Cachbach
- 23M. Bettinger
- 27N. De Medina
- 12Jonás Ramalho
- 4H. Jahic
- 77L. Ferrara
- 31Aitor Embela
RWDM
Not enough data to predict the RWDM lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympic Charleroi have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; RWDM have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II(away) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Meux(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Flénu(away) | 4-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Habay-la-Neuve(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tubize(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tubize(home) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise II(away) | 2-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Rochefort(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Meux(away) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II(home) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Olympic Charleroi wins, 2 draws, 3 RWDM wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Olympic Charleroi 0-2 RWDM | Challenger Pro League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | RWDM 3-3 Olympic Charleroi | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 1, 2023 | RWDM 1-0 Olympic Charleroi | Cup |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Olympic Charleroi 0-0 RWDM | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 9, 2019 | RWDM 2-1 Olympic Charleroi | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Olympic Charleroi vs RWDM on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olympic Charleroi score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; RWDM score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympic Charleroi | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| RWDM | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympic Charleroi sit 9th in First Amateur Division (9 points from 8 matches) and RWDM sit 1st (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RWDM | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 19 |
| 9 | Olympic Charleroi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 9 |
A question about Olympic Charleroi vs RWDM?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympic Charleroi vs RWDM?
- The Footlab AI model makes RWDM the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Olympic Charleroi.
- Where and when is Olympic Charleroi vs RWDM played?
- Olympic Charleroi vs RWDM is played on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Neuville, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.