Match

Union St. Gilloise vs St. Truiden: prediction and stats

Jupiler Pro LeagueMatchday 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels

Union St. GilloiseSt. Truiden

The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for St. Truiden. The most likely score is 1-1. If Union St. Gilloise wins, the most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,436 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs St. Truiden?

Union St. Gilloise starts as the favourite with a 244-point Elo edge (2,430 vs 2,186).

60%22%18%
Union St. Gilloise winDrawSt. Truiden win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Union St. Gilloise vs St. Truiden

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Union St. Gilloise

3-4-2-1
  1. 23B. Zeneli
  1. 6K. Van de Perre
  2. 27L. Patris
  3. 11Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
  4. 8A. Zorgane
  5. 38R. Mofokeng
  6. 20D. Aquino
  1. 29M. Sylla
  2. 55N. Havenaar
  3. 4N. Chibani
  1. 12H. Koffi

St. Truiden

4-2-3-1
  1. 9S. Baždar
  1. 8A. Sissako
  2. 10I. Sebaoui
  3. 11N. Mbuku
  4. 18N. Ishiwatari
  5. 99S. Shinkawa
  1. 23J. Pupe
  2. 26V. Musliu
  3. 5S. Taniguchi
  4. 60R. Vanwesemael
  1. 16L. Kokubo

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 12:22 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union St. Gilloise have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; St. Truiden have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union St. Gilloise
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Genk(home)1-0Jupiler Pro League
Nov 5, 2026Celta Vigo(away)2-1UEFA Europa League
Oct 31, 2026SK Beveren(away)2-1Jupiler Pro League
Oct 25, 2026Cercle Brugge(home)5-2Jupiler Pro League
Oct 22, 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva(home)4-0UEFA Europa League
St. Truiden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Zulte Waregem(home)4-1Jupiler Pro League
Nov 5, 2026Brann(home)1-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Nov 1, 2026OH Leuven(home)1-2Jupiler Pro League
Oct 25, 2026Club Brugge KV(away)2-3Jupiler Pro League
Oct 22, 2026FC Midtjylland(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Union St. Gilloise wins, 0 draws, 1 St. Truiden win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 2, 2026St. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
May 2, 2026St. Truiden 2-1 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
Apr 4, 2026Union St. Gilloise 1-0 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
Mar 22, 2026St. Truiden 1-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
Oct 26, 2025Union St. Gilloise 2-0 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
Feb 2, 2025Union St. Gilloise 2-1 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League

Last archived meeting: St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise on Sep 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union St. Gilloise score 2.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; St. Truiden score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Union St. Gilloise2.50.596/1510/15
St. Truiden1.91.648/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union St. Gilloise sit 1st in Jupiler Pro League (29 points from 11 matches) and St. Truiden sit 12th (11 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Union St. Gilloise1192030729
12St. Truiden11326222211

A question about Union St. Gilloise vs St. Truiden?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union St. Gilloise vs St. Truiden?
The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for St. Truiden.
Where and when is Union St. Gilloise vs St. Truiden played?
Union St. Gilloise vs St. Truiden is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Joseph Mariën, in the Jupiler Pro League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Union St. Gilloise and St. Truiden