Unirea Bascov vs CSM Targu Jiu: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 6Group 6 - 19Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Teren fotbal Nicolae Dobrin - Valea Ursului, Valea Ursului
The Footlab model makes Unirea Bascov the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for CSM Targu Jiu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unirea Bascov vs CSM Targu Jiu?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Unirea Bascov (1,397) and CSM Targu Jiu (1,473).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unirea Bascov have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; CSM Targu Jiu have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Domnesti IF(away) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Păușești(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 8, 2026 | ACS Mediaş 2022(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 1, 2026 | Viitorul Dăești(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gilortul(away) | 5-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Păușești(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(home) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Inter Sibiu(home) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | Păușești(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Unirea Bascov win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 CSM Targu Jiu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | CSM Targu Jiu 3-1 Unirea Bascov | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | CSM Targu Jiu 3-2 Unirea Bascov | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Unirea Bascov 3-0 CSM Targu Jiu | Liga III - Serie 6 |
Last archived meeting: CSM Targu Jiu vs Unirea Bascov on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unirea Bascov score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; CSM Targu Jiu score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unirea Bascov | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| CSM Targu Jiu | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unirea Bascov sit 6th in Liga III - Serie 6 (32 points from 7 matches) and CSM Targu Jiu sit 3rd (43 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSM Targu Jiu | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 43 |
| 6 | Unirea Bascov | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unirea Bascov vs CSM Targu Jiu?
- The Footlab model makes Unirea Bascov the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for CSM Targu Jiu.
- Where and when is Unirea Bascov vs CSM Targu Jiu played?
- Unirea Bascov vs CSM Targu Jiu is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Teren fotbal Nicolae Dobrin - Valea Ursului, in the Liga III - Serie 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.