Academica Recea vs Unirea Dej: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 8Group 8 - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Academica Recea the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Unirea Dej. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Academica Recea vs Unirea Dej?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Academica Recea (1,365) and Unirea Dej (1,323).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Academica Recea have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Unirea Dej have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2023 | Minerul Rodna(away) | 2-16 | Cupa României |
| Jul 12, 2023 | Ştiinţa Beltiug(home) | 1-8 | Cupa României |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Viitorul Cluj(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Sânmartin(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| May 9, 2026 | Sighetu Marmaţiei(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| May 1, 2026 | Crişul Sântandrei(home) | 1-5 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Olimpia Satu Mare(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Academica Recea score 1.5 and concede 12.0 goals per match over their last 2; Unirea Dej score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica Recea | 1.5 | 12.0 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| Unirea Dej | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Unirea Dej | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Academica Recea vs Unirea Dej?
- The Footlab model makes Academica Recea the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Unirea Dej.
- Where and when is Academica Recea vs Unirea Dej played?
- Academica Recea vs Unirea Dej is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.