Match

Unirea Dej vs Unirea Tășnad: prediction and stats

Liga III - Serie 8Group 8 - 7Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Municipal Dej, Dej

Unirea DejUnirea Tășnad

The Footlab model makes Unirea Tășnad the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Unirea Dej. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unirea Dej vs Unirea Tășnad?

Unirea Tășnad starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,509 vs 1,323).

Unirea Dej win20 %
Draw24 %
Unirea Tășnad win56 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unirea Dej have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Unirea Tășnad have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unirea Dej
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 29, 2026Viitorul Cluj(home)1-2Cupa României
May 15, 2026Sânmartin(home)0-1Liga III - Serie 8
May 9, 2026Sighetu Marmaţiei(away)1-1Liga III - Serie 8
May 1, 2026Crişul Sântandrei(home)1-5Liga III - Serie 8
Apr 25, 2026Olimpia Satu Mare(away)2-0Liga III - Serie 8
Unirea Tășnad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 29, 2026Crişul Sântandrei(away)1-2Cupa României
May 23, 2026FC Politehnica Timisoara(away)0-3Liga III - Play-offs
May 16, 2026Unirea Alba Iulia(home)0-4Liga III - Play-offs
May 8, 2026Metalurgistul Cugir(away)1-1Liga III - Play-offs
May 2, 2026Viitorul Arad(home)3-2Liga III - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Unirea Dej win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Unirea Tășnad win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 6, 2025Unirea Tășnad 3-1 Unirea DejLiga III - Serie 8
Sep 24, 2025Unirea Dej 0-1 Unirea TășnadLiga III - Serie 8

Last archived meeting: Unirea Tășnad vs Unirea Dej on Dec 6, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Unirea Dej score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Unirea Tășnad score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unirea Dej1.01.736/157/15
Unirea Tășnad1.41.7111/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unirea Dej sit 6th in Liga III - Serie 8 (23 points from 6 matches) and Unirea Tășnad sit 3rd (46 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Unirea Tășnad221444542346
6Unirea Dej61234823

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unirea Dej vs Unirea Tășnad?
The Footlab model makes Unirea Tășnad the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Unirea Dej.
Where and when is Unirea Dej vs Unirea Tășnad played?
Unirea Dej vs Unirea Tășnad is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Municipal Dej, in the Liga III - Serie 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Unirea Dej and Unirea Tășnad

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