Where and when is United of Manchester vs Bury played?

United of Manchester vs Bury is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Broadhurst Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

United of Manchester vs Bury: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Broadhurst Park, Manchester

United of Manchester

Bury

The Footlab model makes Bury the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for United of Manchester. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win United of Manchester vs Bury?

Bury starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,779).

United of Manchester win29 %

Draw27 %

Bury win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, United of Manchester have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Bury have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

United of Manchester
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Bamber Bridge(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Workington(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Hyde United(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Gainsborough Trinity(home)	0-3	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Leek Town(home)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern

Bury
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Lancaster City(home)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Gainsborough Trinity(away)	1-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Guiseley AFC(away)	2-3	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Rylands(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Curzon Ashton(home)	3-2	Non League Premier - Northern

How many goals should we expect?

United of Manchester score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
United of Manchester	1.0	1.9	2	8/15	8/15
Bury	1.9	0.8	6	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

United of Manchester sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Northern (2 points from 6 matches) and Bury sit 8th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Bury	6	3	1	2	7	6	10
22	United of Manchester	6	0	2	4	3	11	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for United of Manchester vs Bury?: The Footlab model makes Bury the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for United of Manchester.
Where and when is United of Manchester vs Bury played?: United of Manchester vs Bury is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Broadhurst Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.