Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley AFC: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kal Group Stadium, Gainsborough, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Gainsborough Trinity. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guiseley AFC wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,202 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley AFC?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Gainsborough Trinity (1,898) and Guiseley AFC (1,967).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gainsborough Trinity
Not enough data to predict the Gainsborough Trinity lineup.
Guiseley AFC
Not enough data to predict the Guiseley AFC lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 01:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gainsborough Trinity have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Guiseley AFC have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 6-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leiston(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Avro(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bradford (Park Avenue)(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gainsborough Trinity wins, 0 draws, 3 Guiseley AFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity 2-1 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Guiseley AFC 3-2 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Guiseley AFC 0-2 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Gainsborough Trinity 0-2 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Guiseley AFC 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Gainsborough Trinity 1-3 Guiseley AFC | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley AFC on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gainsborough Trinity score 2.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Guiseley AFC score 2.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gainsborough Trinity | 2.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Guiseley AFC | 2.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gainsborough Trinity sit 5th in Non League Premier - Northern (25 points from 13 matches) and Guiseley AFC sit 3rd (28 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Guiseley AFC | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 28 |
| 5 | Gainsborough Trinity | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 16 | 25 |
A question about Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Gainsborough Trinity.
- Where and when is Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley AFC played?
- Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley AFC is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kal Group Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.