Univer Comrat vs FCM Ungheni: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes FCM Ungheni the favourite at 51%, against 19% for a draw and 30% for Univer Comrat. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Univer Comrat vs FCM Ungheni?
FCM Ungheni starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,337 vs 1,231).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Univer Comrat have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; FCM Ungheni have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vulturii Cutezători(home) | 3-3 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FCM Ungheni(away) | 2-6 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Zimbru II(home) | 4-2 | Liga 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Iskra(home) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 6, 2026 | Oguzsport(home) | 2-3 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zimbru II(away) | 3-1 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Univer Comrat(home) | 6-2 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartanii Selemet(away) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vulturii Cutezători(home) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Floreşti(away) | 4-5 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Univer Comrat win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FCM Ungheni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | FCM Ungheni 6-2 Univer Comrat | Liga 1 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Univer Comrat 4-3 FCM Ungheni | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: FCM Ungheni vs Univer Comrat on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Univer Comrat score 1.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; FCM Ungheni score 3.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 87% probability of over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Univer Comrat | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| FCM Ungheni | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Univer Comrat sit 4th in Liga 1 (4 points from 4 matches) and FCM Ungheni sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FCM Ungheni | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Univer Comrat | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Univer Comrat vs FCM Ungheni?
- The Footlab model makes FCM Ungheni the favourite at 51%, against 19% for a draw and 30% for Univer Comrat.
- Where and when is Univer Comrat vs FCM Ungheni played?
- Univer Comrat vs FCM Ungheni is played on September 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 87% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.