Zimbru II vs FCM Ungheni: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul CPTF (Baza Zimbru artificial), Chişinău
The Footlab model makes FCM Ungheni the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Zimbru II. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zimbru II vs FCM Ungheni?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Zimbru II (1,239) and FCM Ungheni (1,337).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zimbru II have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; FCM Ungheni have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FCM Ungheni(home) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Iskra(home) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Univer Comrat(away) | 2-4 | Liga 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Spartanii Selemet(home) | 4-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | FCM Ungheni(away) | 1-5 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zimbru II(away) | 3-1 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Univer Comrat(home) | 6-2 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartanii Selemet(away) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vulturii Cutezători(home) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Floreşti(away) | 4-5 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Zimbru II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FCM Ungheni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zimbru II 1-3 FCM Ungheni | Liga 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | FCM Ungheni 5-1 Zimbru II | Liga 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Zimbru II 0-2 FCM Ungheni | Liga 1 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | FCM Ungheni 3-3 Zimbru II | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Zimbru II 3-2 FCM Ungheni | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Zimbru II vs FCM Ungheni on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zimbru II score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FCM Ungheni score 3.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zimbru II | 1.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| FCM Ungheni | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zimbru II sit 5th in Liga 1 (3 points from 4 matches) and FCM Ungheni sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FCM Ungheni | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 7 |
| 5 | Zimbru II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zimbru II vs FCM Ungheni?
- The Footlab model makes FCM Ungheni the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Zimbru II.
- Where and when is Zimbru II vs FCM Ungheni played?
- Zimbru II vs FCM Ungheni is played on November 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul CPTF (Baza Zimbru artificial), in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.