Universidad Catolica vs Emelec: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 19Kick-off on July 10, 2015 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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What was the result of Universidad Catolica vs Emelec?
Emelec won 0-1 on July 10, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 56′Henry Geovanny León LeónEmelec
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universidad Catolica have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Emelec have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2015 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 28, 2015 | Aucas(away) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
| May 16, 2015 | Deportivo Quito(away) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| May 9, 2015 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| May 3, 2015 | LDU de Quito(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2015 | LDU de Quito(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 5, 2015 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 1, 2015 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 3-3 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 27, 2015 | LDU Loja(home) | 4-0 | Liga Pro |
| May 10, 2015 | Barcelona SC(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Universidad Catolica win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Emelec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2015 | Emelec 1-1 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Jul 6, 2014 | Universidad Catolica 0-2 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Feb 16, 2014 | Emelec 2-1 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Jun 27, 2013 | Emelec 1-0 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Jan 30, 2013 | Universidad Catolica 0-4 Emelec | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Emelec vs Universidad Catolica on Feb 21, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Universidad Catolica score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Emelec score 1.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Emelec | 1.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universidad Catolica sit 3rd in Liga Pro (43 points from 26 matches) and Emelec sit 13th (29 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 23 | 43 |
| 13 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy