Universidad Catolica vs Libertad: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 16, 2025 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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What was the result of Universidad Catolica vs Libertad?
Universidad Catolica and Libertad drew 1-1 on August 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 18′Yerlin QuinonezLibertad
- 32′B. PalaciosUniversidad Catolica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universidad Catolica have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Libertad have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2025 | Alianza Lima(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Orense SC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Aucas(home) | 6-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Río Aguarico(away) | 1-0 | Copa Ecuador |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Macara(away) | 4-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Emelec(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 26, 2025 | El Nacional(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Manta FC(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 16, 2025 | La Cantera de Pastaza(away) | 0-0 | Copa Ecuador |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Universidad Catolica win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Libertad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2025 | Libertad 3-1 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Universidad Catolica 1-2 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Libertad 0-1 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Universidad Catolica 0-0 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| May 27, 2023 | Libertad 2-2 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Libertad vs Universidad Catolica on Apr 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Universidad Catolica score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Libertad score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Libertad | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universidad Catolica sit 3rd in Liga Pro (43 points from 26 matches) and Libertad sit 8th (34 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 23 | 43 |
| 8 | Libertad | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 34 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy