Universitatea Alba Iulia vs Progresul Pecica: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Comunal Galtiu, Galtiu
The Footlab model makes Universitatea Alba Iulia the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Progresul Pecica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universitatea Alba Iulia vs Progresul Pecica?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Universitatea Alba Iulia (1,464) and Progresul Pecica (1,438).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universitatea Alba Iulia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Progresul Pecica have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | CIL Blaj(home) | 3-4 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Pecica(home) | 6-2 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 8, 2026 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 1, 2026 | Unirea Sântana(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Unirea DMO(away) | 5-1 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Timişul Şag(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Uta Arad(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Universitatea Alba Iulia(away) | 2-6 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 8, 2026 | CIL Blaj(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Universitatea Alba Iulia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Progresul Pecica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Universitatea Alba Iulia 6-2 Progresul Pecica | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Universitatea Alba Iulia 1-0 Progresul Pecica | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Progresul Pecica 2-1 Universitatea Alba Iulia | Liga III - Serie 7 |
Last archived meeting: Universitatea Alba Iulia vs Progresul Pecica on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universitatea Alba Iulia score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Progresul Pecica score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitatea Alba Iulia | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Progresul Pecica | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universitatea Alba Iulia sit 5th in Liga III - Serie 7 (34 points from 6 matches) and Progresul Pecica sit 3rd (38 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progresul Pecica | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 38 |
| 5 | Universitatea Alba Iulia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universitatea Alba Iulia vs Progresul Pecica?
- The Footlab model makes Universitatea Alba Iulia the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Progresul Pecica.
- Where and when is Universitatea Alba Iulia vs Progresul Pecica played?
- Universitatea Alba Iulia vs Progresul Pecica is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Comunal Galtiu, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.