Progresul Pecica vs Universitatea Alba Iulia: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 5Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Pecica, Pecica
The Footlab model makes Progresul Pecica the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Universitatea Alba Iulia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Pecica vs Universitatea Alba Iulia?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Progresul Pecica (1,438) and Universitatea Alba Iulia (1,464).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Pecica have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Universitatea Alba Iulia have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Timişul Şag(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Uta Arad(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Universitatea Alba Iulia(away) | 2-6 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 8, 2026 | CIL Blaj(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | CIL Blaj(home) | 3-4 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Pecica(home) | 6-2 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 8, 2026 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 1, 2026 | Unirea Sântana(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Unirea DMO(away) | 5-1 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Progresul Pecica win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Universitatea Alba Iulia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Universitatea Alba Iulia 6-2 Progresul Pecica | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Universitatea Alba Iulia 1-0 Progresul Pecica | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Progresul Pecica 2-1 Universitatea Alba Iulia | Liga III - Serie 7 |
Last archived meeting: Universitatea Alba Iulia vs Progresul Pecica on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Pecica score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Universitatea Alba Iulia score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Pecica | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Universitatea Alba Iulia | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresul Pecica sit 3rd in Liga III - Serie 7 (38 points from 6 matches) and Universitatea Alba Iulia sit 5th (34 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progresul Pecica | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 38 |
| 5 | Universitatea Alba Iulia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Pecica vs Universitatea Alba Iulia?
- The Footlab model makes Progresul Pecica the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Universitatea Alba Iulia.
- Where and when is Progresul Pecica vs Universitatea Alba Iulia played?
- Progresul Pecica vs Universitatea Alba Iulia is played on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Pecica, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.