University of Pretoria vs Lerumo Lions: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Tuks Stadium, Pretoria (Tshwane)
The Footlab model makes University of Pretoria the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Lerumo Lions. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win University of Pretoria vs Lerumo Lions?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate University of Pretoria (1,605) and Lerumo Lions (1,638).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, University of Pretoria have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Lerumo Lions have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hope FC(away) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Midlands Wanderers(home) | 6-2 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Lerumo Lions(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Upington City(away) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Venda FC(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Black Leopards(home) | 4-0 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Midlands Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | University of Pretoria(away) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Highbury(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 University of Pretoria win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Lerumo Lions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | University of Pretoria 0-1 Lerumo Lions | 1st Division |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Lerumo Lions 2-1 University of Pretoria | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: University of Pretoria vs Lerumo Lions on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
University of Pretoria score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lerumo Lions score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Pretoria | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Lerumo Lions | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
University of Pretoria sit 16th in 1st Division (0 points from 1 matches) and Lerumo Lions sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lerumo Lions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | University of Pretoria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for University of Pretoria vs Lerumo Lions?
- The Footlab model makes University of Pretoria the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Lerumo Lions.
- Where and when is University of Pretoria vs Lerumo Lions played?
- University of Pretoria vs Lerumo Lions is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Tuks Stadium, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.