University of Pretoria vs Midlands Wanderers: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Tuks Stadium, Pretoria (Tshwane)
The Footlab model makes University of Pretoria the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Midlands Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win University of Pretoria vs Midlands Wanderers?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate University of Pretoria (1,605) and Midlands Wanderers (1,585).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, University of Pretoria have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Midlands Wanderers have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hope FC(away) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Midlands Wanderers(home) | 6-2 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Lerumo Lions(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Upington City(away) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Magesi(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | University of Pretoria(away) | 2-6 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Lerumo Lions(home) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 6, 2026 | Gomora United FC(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Highbury(away) | 1-3 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 University of Pretoria win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Midlands Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | University of Pretoria 6-2 Midlands Wanderers | 1st Division |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Midlands Wanderers 1-1 University of Pretoria | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: University of Pretoria vs Midlands Wanderers on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
University of Pretoria score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Midlands Wanderers score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Pretoria | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Midlands Wanderers | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
University of Pretoria sit 16th in 1st Division (0 points from 1 matches) and Midlands Wanderers sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Midlands Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | University of Pretoria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for University of Pretoria vs Midlands Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes University of Pretoria the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Midlands Wanderers.
- Where and when is University of Pretoria vs Midlands Wanderers played?
- University of Pretoria vs Midlands Wanderers is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Tuks Stadium, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.