Upington City vs Casric Stars: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Suzuki Stadium, Kimberley
The Footlab model makes Casric Stars the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Upington City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Upington City vs Casric Stars?
Casric Stars starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,752 vs 1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Upington City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Casric Stars have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NWU FC(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Baroka FC(away) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Casric Stars(home) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Hungry Lions(away) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | University of Pretoria(home) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cape Town City(home) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Gomora United FC(home) | 3-1 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Upington City(away) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Baroka FC(home) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Leicesterfield(away) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Upington City win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Casric Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Upington City 0-2 Casric Stars | 1st Division |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Casric Stars 1-0 Upington City | 1st Division |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Casric Stars 0-1 Upington City | 1st Division |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Upington City 2-2 Casric Stars | 1st Division |
| May 19, 2024 | Upington City 0-0 Casric Stars | 1st Division |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Casric Stars 1-1 Upington City | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Upington City vs Casric Stars on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Upington City score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Casric Stars score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upington City | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Casric Stars | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Upington City sit 10th in 1st Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Casric Stars sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casric Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Upington City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Upington City vs Casric Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Casric Stars the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Upington City.
- Where and when is Upington City vs Casric Stars played?
- Upington City vs Casric Stars is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Suzuki Stadium, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.