Match

Unter-Flockenbach vs Vfb Marburg: prediction and stats

Oberliga - HessenHessen - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Unter-Flockenbach, Gorxheimertal

Unter-FlockenbachVfb Marburg

The Footlab model makes Unter-Flockenbach the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Vfb Marburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unter-Flockenbach vs Vfb Marburg?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Unter-Flockenbach (1,704) and Vfb Marburg (1,751).

Unter-Flockenbach win49 %
Draw23 %
Vfb Marburg win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unter-Flockenbach have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Vfb Marburg have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unter-Flockenbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Baunatal(home)3-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 15, 2026Hadamar(away)3-4Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026Hummetroth(away)2-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 8, 2026Kassel(home)6-0Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 2, 2026Rot-Weiß Walldorf(away)4-1Oberliga - Hessen
Vfb Marburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 20261960 Hanau(away)1-0Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 15, 2026Kassel 2(home)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home)2-2Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 7, 2026Hünfelder SV(away)1-0Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 1, 2026Bayern Alzenau(home)2-1Oberliga - Hessen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Unter-Flockenbach win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Vfb Marburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 16, 2024Vfb Marburg 3-3 Unter-FlockenbachOberliga - Hessen
Aug 3, 2024Unter-Flockenbach 0-0 Vfb MarburgOberliga - Hessen

Last archived meeting: Vfb Marburg vs Unter-Flockenbach on Nov 16, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Unter-Flockenbach score 2.2 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vfb Marburg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unter-Flockenbach2.22.4311/1513/15
Vfb Marburg1.51.348/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unter-Flockenbach sit 1st in Oberliga - Hessen (12 points from 5 matches) and Vfb Marburg sit 5th (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Unter-Flockenbach540118712
5Vfb Marburg53207411

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unter-Flockenbach vs Vfb Marburg?
The Footlab model makes Unter-Flockenbach the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Vfb Marburg.
Where and when is Unter-Flockenbach vs Vfb Marburg played?
Unter-Flockenbach vs Vfb Marburg is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Unter-Flockenbach, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Unter-Flockenbach and Vfb Marburg

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