Vfb Marburg vs Friedberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Gisselberger Straße, Marburg
The Footlab AI model makes Friedberg the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Vfb Marburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Friedberg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,789 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vfb Marburg vs Friedberg?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Vfb Marburg (1,757) and Friedberg (1,824).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vfb Marburg vs Friedberg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vfb Marburg
Not enough data to predict the Vfb Marburg lineup.
Friedberg
Not enough data to predict the Friedberg lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vfb Marburg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Friedberg have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Baunatal(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hadamar(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kassel(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hummetroth(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 26, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Gießen(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Vfb Marburg wins, 1 draw, 5 Friedberg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vfb Marburg 3-4 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Friedberg 3-1 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Vfb Marburg 0-1 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Friedberg 3-3 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Friedberg 6-2 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Vfb Marburg 0-3 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Vfb Marburg vs Friedberg on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vfb Marburg score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Friedberg score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vfb Marburg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Friedberg | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vfb Marburg sit 5th in Oberliga - Hessen (20 points from 12 matches) and Friedberg sit 4th (21 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Friedberg | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 21 |
| 5 | Vfb Marburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 20 |
A question about Vfb Marburg vs Friedberg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vfb Marburg vs Friedberg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Friedberg the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Vfb Marburg.
- Where and when is Vfb Marburg vs Friedberg played?
- Vfb Marburg vs Friedberg is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Gisselberger Straße, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027FC GießenvsKassel
- May 22, 2027EddersheimvsDarmstadt 98 II
- May 22, 2027FernwaldvsUnter-Flockenbach
- May 22, 2027Hünfelder SVvsBayern Alzenau
- May 22, 2027Rot-Weiß WalldorfvsHadamar
- May 22, 20271960 HanauvsTuBa Pohlheim
- May 22, 2027HummetrothvsBaunatal
- May 22, 2027Kassel 2vsEintracht Stadtallendorf