UPDF vs Mbarara City: result 1-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 11, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bombo Stadium, Bombo
Full time
What was the result of UPDF vs Mbarara City?
UPDF and Mbarara City drew 1-1 on December 11, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 50′?Mbarara City
- 57′?UPDF
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UPDF have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Mbarara City have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | Gaddafi(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Vipers(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Arua Hill(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2023 | BUL(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Busoga United(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023 | KCCA(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Maroons(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | SC Villa(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Gaddafi(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Bright Stars(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 UPDF win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Mbarara City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2022 | Mbarara City 1-2 UPDF | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2021 | UPDF 1-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Feb 24, 2021 | UPDF 2-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Mar 3, 2018 | UPDF 1-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Nov 18, 2017 | Mbarara City 2-1 UPDF | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
UPDF score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mbarara City score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPDF | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Mbarara City | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UPDF sit 14th in Premier League (22 points from 30 matches) and Mbarara City sit 12th (27 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 46 | 27 |
| 14 | UPDF | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 41 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy