UPDF vs Mbarara City: result 1-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 11, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bombo Stadium, Bombo
Full time
What was the result of UPDF vs Mbarara City?
UPDF and Mbarara City drew 1-1 on December 11, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 50′?Mbarara City
- 57′?UPDF
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UPDF have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Mbarara City have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | Gaddafi(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Vipers(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Arua Hill(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2023 | BUL(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Busoga United(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023 | KCCA(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Maroons(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | SC Villa(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Gaddafi(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Bright Stars(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 UPDF wins, 0 draws, 1 Mbarara City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2022 | Mbarara City 1-2 UPDF | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2021 | UPDF 1-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Feb 24, 2021 | UPDF 2-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Mar 3, 2018 | UPDF 1-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Nov 18, 2017 | Mbarara City 2-1 UPDF | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
UPDF score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mbarara City score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPDF | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Mbarara City | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UPDF sit 9th in Premier League (8 points from 5 matches) and Mbarara City sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | UPDF | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
A question about UPDF vs Mbarara City?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy