Upington City vs Orbit College: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Suzuki Stadium, Kimberley
The Footlab model makes Upington City the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Orbit College. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Upington City vs Orbit College?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Upington City (1,631) and Orbit College (1,611).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Upington City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Orbit College have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NWU FC(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Baroka FC(away) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Casric Stars(home) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Hungry Lions(away) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | University of Pretoria(home) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leicesterfield(away) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| May 23, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(home) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Stellenbosch(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 9, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 5, 2026 | Magesi(away) | 2-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Upington City win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Orbit College win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025 | Orbit College 1-1 Upington City | 1st Division |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Upington City 1-2 Orbit College | 1st Division |
| May 12, 2024 | Orbit College 1-2 Upington City | 1st Division |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Upington City 2-3 Orbit College | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Orbit College vs Upington City on Jan 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Upington City score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Orbit College score 0.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upington City | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Orbit College | 0.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Upington City sit 10th in 1st Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Orbit College sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Upington City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Orbit College | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Upington City vs Orbit College?
- The Footlab model makes Upington City the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Orbit College.
- Where and when is Upington City vs Orbit College played?
- Upington City vs Orbit College is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Suzuki Stadium, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.