Venda FC vs Magesi: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Thohoyandou Stadium, Thohoyandou
The Footlab model makes Venda FC the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Magesi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Venda FC vs Magesi?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Venda FC (1,604) and Magesi (1,685).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Venda FC have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Magesi have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lerumo Lions(home) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Highbury(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Black Leopards(away) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Leicesterfield(home) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Midlands Wanderers(away) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Midlands Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Milford FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Cape Town City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Cape Town City(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Venda FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Magesi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2024 | Magesi 2-2 Venda FC | 1st Division |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Venda FC 2-0 Magesi | 1st Division |
| Feb 3, 2023 | Venda FC 0-1 Magesi | 1st Division |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Magesi 1-0 Venda FC | 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Venda FC score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Magesi score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venda FC | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Magesi | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Venda FC sit 11th in 1st Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Magesi sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magesi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Venda FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Venda FC vs Magesi?
- The Footlab model makes Venda FC the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Magesi.
- Where and when is Venda FC vs Magesi played?
- Venda FC vs Magesi is played on October 16, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Thohoyandou Stadium, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.