Ursaria vs Guadalajara: result 3-2 and analysis
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 5Kick-off on October 1, 2023 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo la Dehesa, Madrid
Full time
What was the result of Ursaria vs Guadalajara?
Ursaria won 3-2 on October 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 37′Pablo VillalónUrsaria
- 62′Pablo RojoUrsaria
- 73′S. BarretoGuadalajara
- 74′Diego MorcilloGuadalajara
- 88′Jacobo AlcaldeUrsaria
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ursaria have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Guadalajara have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Unión Adarve(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | SS Reyes(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Mensajero(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Getafe II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Trival Valderas(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2023 | Lanzarote(home) | 2-0 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 24, 2023 | UD San Fernando(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2023 | SS Reyes(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Badajoz(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Unión Adarve(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ursaria score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara score 1.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ursaria | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Guadalajara | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 60 | 22 | 74 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy