Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara
The Footlab AI model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Navalcarnero. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guadalajara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,867 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Guadalajara (1,888) and Navalcarnero (1,934).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guadalajara
Not enough data to predict the Guadalajara lineup.
Navalcarnero
4-3-3- 11M. Jimenez
- 9Vizuete Perez Jaime
- 24A. Altube Suarez
- 14Javi Bueno
- 21I. Perera
- 15J. Cruz
- 6R. de Souza
- 5A. Espinola
- 3Juanmi
- 19A. Aunon
- 1A. Calado
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Navalcarnero have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 2-2 | Copa Federacion |
| Oct 11, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 3-1 | Copa Federacion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Guadalajara wins, 2 draws, 2 Navalcarnero wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Navalcarnero 2-1 Guadalajara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Guadalajara 2-0 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Navalcarnero 3-1 Guadalajara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Guadalajara 3-2 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Navalcarnero 0-0 Guadalajara | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Guadalajara 1-1 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Navalcarnero vs Guadalajara on Apr 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Guadalajara score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Navalcarnero score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Navalcarnero | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guadalajara sit 12th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (8 points from 7 matches) and Navalcarnero sit 11th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Navalcarnero | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 12 | Guadalajara | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Navalcarnero.
- Where and when is Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero played?
- Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Escartín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 8, 2026Real ÁvilavsSalamanca UDS
- Nov 8, 2026CalamochavsRSD Alcalá
- Nov 8, 2026Albacete IIvsGimnástica Segoviana
- Nov 8, 2026A Madrid IIIvsAtlético Tordesillas