Uruguay U20 vs Paraguay U20: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendly InternationalKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
The Footlab model makes Uruguay U20 the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Paraguay U20. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uruguay U20 vs Paraguay U20?
Uruguay U20 starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,657 vs 1,489).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uruguay U20 have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Paraguay U20 have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Paraguay U20(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Mauritania U20(home) | 2-3 | COTIF Tournament |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Venezuela U20(home) | 1-0 | COTIF Tournament |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Saudi Arabia U20(home) | 1-0 | COTIF Tournament |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Colombia U20(home) | 1-3 | Sudamericano U20 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Uruguay U20(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Brazil U20(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Brazil U20(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Norway U20(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - U20 |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Ukraine U20(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - U20 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Uruguay U20 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Paraguay U20 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Uruguay U20 0-2 Paraguay U20 | Friendlies |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Paraguay U20 1-0 Uruguay U20 | Sudamericano U20 |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Uruguay U20 6-0 Paraguay U20 | Sudamericano U20 |
| Feb 9, 2023 | Uruguay U20 1-0 Paraguay U20 | Sudamericano U20 |
| Jan 26, 2019 | Uruguay U20 1-0 Paraguay U20 | Sudamericano U20 |
Last archived meeting: Uruguay U20 vs Paraguay U20 on Aug 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Uruguay U20 score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Paraguay U20 score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay U20 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Paraguay U20 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uruguay U20 vs Paraguay U20?
- The Footlab model makes Uruguay U20 the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Paraguay U20.
- Where and when is Uruguay U20 vs Paraguay U20 played?
- Uruguay U20 vs Paraguay U20 is played on August 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Centenario, in the Friendlies.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.