US Mondorf-les-bains vs UN Kaerjeng 97: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 27Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade John Grün, Mondorf-les-Bains
The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for UN Kaerjeng 97. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Mondorf-les-bains vs UN Kaerjeng 97?
US Mondorf-les-bains starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,439).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Mondorf-les-bains have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; UN Kaerjeng 97 have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(away) | 3-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 4-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(away) | 1-5 | National Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 US Mondorf-les-bains win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 UN Kaerjeng 97 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97 1-3 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Aug 17, 2025 | US Mondorf-les-bains 2-0 UN Kaerjeng 97 | National Division |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UN Kaerjeng 97 2-1 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Aug 20, 2023 | US Mondorf-les-bains 5-3 UN Kaerjeng 97 | National Division |
| Apr 16, 2023 | US Mondorf-les-bains 1-1 UN Kaerjeng 97 | National Division |
| Nov 6, 2022 | UN Kaerjeng 97 0-2 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
Last archived meeting: UN Kaerjeng 97 vs US Mondorf-les-bains on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
US Mondorf-les-bains score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; UN Kaerjeng 97 score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| UN Kaerjeng 97 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Mondorf-les-bains sit 4th in National Division (9 points from 3 matches) and UN Kaerjeng 97 sit 11th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 11 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Mondorf-les-bains vs UN Kaerjeng 97?
- The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for UN Kaerjeng 97.
- Where and when is US Mondorf-les-bains vs UN Kaerjeng 97 played?
- US Mondorf-les-bains vs UN Kaerjeng 97 is played on May 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade John Grün, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 2, 2027Progres NiederkornvsFC Differdange 03
- May 2, 2027US RumelangevsUS Hostert
- May 2, 2027AS Jeunesse EschvsVictoria Rosport
- May 2, 2027UNA StrassenvsEtzella Ettelbruck
- May 2, 2027WiltzvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- May 2, 2027Atert BissenvsSwift Hesperange
- May 2, 2027Résidence WalferdangevsF91 Dudelange