Match

Progres Niederkorn vs FC Differdange 03: prediction and stats

National DivisionRegular Season - 27Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Haupert, Niedercorn

Progres NiederkornFC Differdange 03

The Footlab AI model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Progres Niederkorn. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Differdange 03 wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,997 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs FC Differdange 03?

FC Differdange 03 starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,791 vs 1,579).

17%22%61%
Progres Niederkorn winDrawFC Differdange 03 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Progres Niederkorn vs FC Differdange 03

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Progres Niederkorn

4-3-3
  1. 19Y. Bouche
  2. 77K. Corral
  3. 71F. Hoxha
  1. 23Clayton Duarte
  2. 80K. Avdusinovic
  3. 10Omar Natami
  1. 28A. Guett Guett
  2. 11M. Gilgemann
  3. 14C. Sacras
  4. 27V. Peugnet
  1. 1S. Flauss

FC Differdange 03

3-5-1-1
  1. 95Gustavo Vintecinco
  1. 77Leandro Borges
  2. 21L. Rauch
  3. 31S. Thill
  4. 20Rafael Pinto
  5. 8Bruno Reis
  6. 17Marceu Soares Delgado
  1. 25G. Franzoni
  2. 14J. Bedouret
  3. 4K. D'Anzico
  1. 1Felipe

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 11:20 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progres Niederkorn have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; FC Differdange 03 have 12, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Progres Niederkorn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97(home)1-2National Division
Oct 11, 2026US Hostert(away)2-0National Division
Sep 20, 2026Kopstal 33(away)7-0Cup
Sep 16, 2026Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home)0-0National Division
Sep 12, 2026Wiltz(away)2-1National Division
FC Differdange 03
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Victoria Rosport(away)5-3National Division
Oct 11, 2026Résidence Walferdange(home)6-0National Division
Sep 20, 2026Jeunesse Useldange(away)5-1Cup
Sep 16, 2026Swift Hesperange(home)3-0National Division
Sep 12, 2026Etzella Ettelbruck(home)1-0National Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Progres Niederkorn win, 1 draw, 4 FC Differdange 03 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 8, 2026Progres Niederkorn 2-3 FC Differdange 03National Division
Nov 30, 2025FC Differdange 03 1-1 Progres NiederkornNational Division
Mar 1, 2025Progres Niederkorn 0-2 FC Differdange 03National Division
Sep 1, 2024FC Differdange 03 1-0 Progres NiederkornNational Division
May 13, 2024Progres Niederkorn 0-1 FC Differdange 03National Division
Apr 24, 2024Progres Niederkorn 2-0 FC Differdange 03Cup

Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs FC Differdange 03 on May 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Progres Niederkorn score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FC Differdange 03 score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Progres Niederkorn1.91.468/1510/15
FC Differdange 032.80.978/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Progres Niederkorn sit 7th in National Division (19 points from 10 matches) and FC Differdange 03 sit 2nd (27 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Differdange 031090130827
7Progres Niederkorn1061316719

A question about Progres Niederkorn vs FC Differdange 03?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Progres Niederkorn vs FC Differdange 03?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Progres Niederkorn.
Where and when is Progres Niederkorn vs FC Differdange 03 played?
Progres Niederkorn vs FC Differdange 03 is played on May 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Haupert, in the National Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Progres Niederkorn and FC Differdange 03

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