Progres Niederkorn vs FC Differdange 03: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 27Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Haupert, Niedercorn
The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Progres Niederkorn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs FC Differdange 03?
FC Differdange 03 starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progres Niederkorn have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; FC Differdange 03 have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 3-0 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | US Rumelange(home) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Ilves(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Progres Niederkorn win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FC Differdange 03 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn 2-3 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Nov 30, 2025 | FC Differdange 03 1-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Progres Niederkorn 0-2 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Sep 1, 2024 | FC Differdange 03 1-0 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| May 13, 2024 | Progres Niederkorn 0-1 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Progres Niederkorn 2-0 FC Differdange 03 | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs FC Differdange 03 on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; FC Differdange 03 score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Differdange 03 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd in National Division (9 points from 4 matches) and FC Differdange 03 sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | FC Differdange 03 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | FC Differdange 03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progres Niederkorn vs FC Differdange 03?
- The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Progres Niederkorn.
- Where and when is Progres Niederkorn vs FC Differdange 03 played?
- Progres Niederkorn vs FC Differdange 03 is played on May 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Haupert, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 2, 2027US RumelangevsUS Hostert
- May 2, 2027AS Jeunesse EschvsVictoria Rosport
- May 2, 2027UNA StrassenvsEtzella Ettelbruck
- May 2, 2027US Mondorf-les-bainsvsUN Kaerjeng 97
- May 2, 2027WiltzvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- May 2, 2027Atert BissenvsSwift Hesperange
- May 2, 2027Résidence WalferdangevsF91 Dudelange