US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade John Grün, Mondorf-les-Bains
The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Wiltz. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz?
US Mondorf-les-bains starts as the favourite with a 222-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,434).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Mondorf-les-bains have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Wiltz have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(away) | 3-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 0-4 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 7-2 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 US Mondorf-les-bains win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Wiltz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Wiltz 0-2 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Sep 15, 2024 | US Mondorf-les-bains 3-2 Wiltz | National Division |
| May 12, 2024 | Wiltz 2-2 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Dec 3, 2023 | US Mondorf-les-bains 2-0 Wiltz | National Division |
| Apr 30, 2023 | US Mondorf-les-bains 3-0 Wiltz | National Division |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Wiltz 4-4 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Wiltz vs US Mondorf-les-bains on Mar 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
US Mondorf-les-bains score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wiltz score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Wiltz | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Mondorf-les-bains sit 4th in National Division (9 points from 3 matches) and Wiltz sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 9 | Wiltz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Wiltz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz?
- The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Wiltz.
- Where and when is US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz played?
- US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade John Grün, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026F91 DudelangevsSwift Hesperange
- Oct 18, 2026Progres NiederkornvsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Oct 18, 2026AS Jeunesse EschvsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Oct 18, 2026UNA StrassenvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Oct 18, 2026Victoria RosportvsFC Differdange 03
- Oct 18, 2026Atert BissenvsUS Hostert
- Oct 18, 2026Résidence WalferdangevsUS Rumelange