AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Frontière, Esch-sur-Alzette
The Footlab model makes AS Jeunesse Esch the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Etzella Ettelbruck. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck?
AS Jeunesse Esch starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,483 vs 1,323).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Jeunesse Esch have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Etzella Ettelbruck have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(home) | 1-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UNA Strassen(away) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atert Bissen(home) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Berdenia Berbourg(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | US Hostert(away) | 1-5 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AS Jeunesse Esch win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Etzella Ettelbruck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2023 | Etzella Ettelbruck 3-0 AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| Nov 6, 2022 | AS Jeunesse Esch 6-0 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Apr 3, 2022 | AS Jeunesse Esch 5-1 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Etzella Ettelbruck 2-1 AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| Apr 5, 2021 | AS Jeunesse Esch 1-1 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Sep 23, 2020 | Etzella Ettelbruck 1-1 AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Etzella Ettelbruck vs AS Jeunesse Esch on Apr 16, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
AS Jeunesse Esch score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Etzella Ettelbruck score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Jeunesse Esch | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Etzella Ettelbruck | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Jeunesse Esch sit 13th in National Division (0 points from 3 matches) and Etzella Ettelbruck sit 12th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 13 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 15 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck?
- The Footlab model makes AS Jeunesse Esch the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Etzella Ettelbruck.
- Where and when is AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck played?
- AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Frontière, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026F91 DudelangevsSwift Hesperange
- Oct 18, 2026Progres NiederkornvsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Oct 18, 2026UNA StrassenvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Oct 18, 2026US Mondorf-les-bainsvsWiltz
- Oct 18, 2026Victoria RosportvsFC Differdange 03
- Oct 18, 2026Atert BissenvsUS Hostert
- Oct 18, 2026Résidence WalferdangevsUS Rumelange