USA vs Ecuador: result 2-1 and analysis
Copa AmericaQuarter-finalsKick-off on June 17, 2016 at 01:30 AM (UTC)GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee
Full time
What was the result of USA vs Ecuador?
USA won 2-1 on June 17, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 22′Clint DempseyUSA
- 65′G. ZardesUSA
- 74′Michael Antonio Arroyo MinaEcuador
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USA have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ecuador have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2016 | Paraguay(home) | 1-0 | Copa America |
| Jun 8, 2016 | Costa Rica(home) | 4-0 | Copa America |
| Jun 4, 2016 | Colombia(home) | 0-2 | Copa America |
| Mar 30, 2016 | Guatemala(home) | 4-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Mar 26, 2016 | Guatemala(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2016 | Haiti(home) | 4-0 | Copa America |
| Jun 9, 2016 | Peru(home) | 2-2 | Copa America |
| Jun 5, 2016 | Brazil(away) | 0-0 | Copa America |
| Mar 29, 2016 | Colombia(away) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Mar 24, 2016 | Paraguay(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
USA score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ecuador score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ecuador | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USA sit 3rd in Copa America (3 points from 3 matches) and Ecuador sit 2nd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | USA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy