Argentina vs Venezuela: result 4-1 and analysis
Copa AmericaQuarter-finalsKick-off on June 18, 2016 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Mâs Monumental, Buenos Aires
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What was the result of Argentina vs Venezuela?
Argentina won 4-1 on June 18, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 8′G. HiguaínArgentina
- 28′G. HiguaínArgentina
- 60′L. MessiArgentina
- 70′S. RondónVenezuela
- 71′E. LamelaArgentina
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Argentina have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Venezuela have 3, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2016 | Bolivia(home) | 3-0 | Copa America |
| Jun 11, 2016 | Panama(home) | 5-0 | Copa America |
| Jun 7, 2016 | Chile(home) | 2-1 | Copa America |
| Mar 30, 2016 | Bolivia(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Mar 24, 2016 | Chile(away) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2016 | Mexico(away) | 1-1 | Copa America |
| Jun 9, 2016 | Uruguay(away) | 1-0 | Copa America |
| Jun 5, 2016 | Jamaica(away) | 1-0 | Copa America |
| Mar 30, 2016 | Chile(home) | 1-4 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Mar 25, 2016 | Peru(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Argentina score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Venezuela score 1.0 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Venezuela | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/12 | 6/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Argentina sit 1st in Copa America (9 points from 3 matches) and Venezuela sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 1 | Venezuela | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy