USA vs El Salvador: result 1-0 and analysis
CONCACAF Nations LeagueLeague A - 6Kick-off on March 27, 2023 at 11:30 PM (UTC)GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee
Full time
What was the result of USA vs El Salvador?
USA won 1-0 on March 27, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 62′R. PepiUSA
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USA have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; El Salvador have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | Grenada(away) | 7-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Colombia(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jan 26, 2023 | Serbia(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Netherlands(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Nov 29, 2022 | Iran(away) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | Honduras(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2022 | Nicaragua(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 28, 2022 | Peru(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies |
| Jun 15, 2022 | USA(home) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 7, 2022 | Grenada(away) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 USA win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 El Salvador win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2022 | El Salvador 1-1 USA | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jan 28, 2022 | USA 1-0 El Salvador | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Sep 3, 2021 | El Salvador 0-0 USA | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Dec 10, 2020 | USA 6-0 El Salvador | Friendlies |
| Jul 20, 2017 | USA 2-0 El Salvador | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
USA score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; El Salvador score 0.8 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| El Salvador | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy