USA vs Germany: result 0-1 and analysis
World CupGroup stage - 3Kick-off on June 26, 2014 at 04:00 PM (UTC)GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee
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What was the result of USA vs Germany?
Germany won 0-1 on June 26, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 55′T. MüllerGermany
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, USA have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Germany have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2014 | Portugal(home) | 2-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 16, 2014 | Ghana(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 26, 2010 | Ghana(home) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2010 | Algeria(home) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 18, 2010 | Slovenia(away) | 2-2 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2014 | Ghana(home) | 2-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 16, 2014 | Portugal(home) | 4-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 28, 2012 | Italy(home) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 22, 2012 | Greece(home) | 4-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 17, 2012 | Denmark(away) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
USA score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 11; Germany score 2.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/11 | 8/11 |
| Germany | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USA sit 1st in World Cup (6 points from 2 matches) and Germany sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | USA | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy