USA vs Mexico: result 1-0 and analysis
CONCACAF Gold CupFinalKick-off on August 2, 2021 at 12:30 AM (UTC)GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee
Full time
What was the result of USA vs Mexico?
USA won 1-0 on August 2, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 117′M. RobinsonUSA
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USA have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Mexico have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2021 | Qatar(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 26, 2021 | Jamaica(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 18, 2021 | Canada(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 16, 2021 | Martinique(away) | 6-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 12, 2021 | Haiti(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2021 | Canada(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 25, 2021 | Honduras(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 19, 2021 | El Salvador(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 15, 2021 | Guatemala(away) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 11, 2021 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 USA win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Mexico win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2021 | USA 3-2 Mexico | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 7, 2019 | USA 0-3 Mexico | Friendlies |
| Jul 8, 2019 | Mexico 1-0 USA | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Sep 12, 2018 | USA 1-0 Mexico | Friendlies |
| Jun 12, 2017 | Mexico 1-1 USA | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Nov 12, 2016 | USA 1-2 Mexico | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
How many goals should we expect?
USA score 2.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mexico score 1.7 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 2.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Mexico | 1.7 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USA sit 1st in CONCACAF Gold Cup (9 points from 3 matches) and Mexico sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 1 | USA | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy