USD Palmese vs Gravina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Di Palma Campania, Palma Campania
The Footlab model makes USD Palmese the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Gravina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USD Palmese vs Gravina?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate USD Palmese (1,671) and Gravina (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USD Palmese have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gravina have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Monastir(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Scafatese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ischia(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Latte Dolce(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Flaminia(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Afragolese(away) | 6-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Paganese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ferrandina(away) | 5-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Martina Franca(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 USD Palmese win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Gravina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | USD Palmese 2-1 Gravina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Gravina 0-2 USD Palmese | Serie D - Girone H |
| Jan 7, 2024 | USD Palmese 4-2 Gravina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Gravina 0-0 USD Palmese | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: USD Palmese vs Gravina on Jan 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
USD Palmese score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gravina score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD Palmese | 1.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Gravina | 1.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 40 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USD Palmese vs Gravina?
- The Footlab model makes USD Palmese the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Gravina.
- Where and when is USD Palmese vs Gravina played?
- USD Palmese vs Gravina is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Di Palma Campania, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.