USD Palmese vs Gravina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Di Palma Campania, Palma Campania
The Footlab AI model makes Gravina the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for USD Palmese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gravina wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USD Palmese vs Gravina?
Gravina starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,747 vs 1,639).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for USD Palmese vs Gravina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
USD Palmese
Not enough data to predict the USD Palmese lineup.
Gravina
Not enough data to predict the Gravina lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USD Palmese have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Gravina have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bisceglie(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nardò(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nocerina(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 3-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Francavilla(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nardò(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Normanna(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 USD Palmese wins, 1 draw, 0 Gravina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | USD Palmese 2-1 Gravina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Gravina 0-2 USD Palmese | Serie D - Girone H |
| Jan 7, 2024 | USD Palmese 4-2 Gravina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Gravina 0-0 USD Palmese | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: USD Palmese vs Gravina on Jan 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
USD Palmese score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gravina score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD Palmese | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Gravina | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USD Palmese sit 13th in Serie D - Girone H (7 points from 7 matches) and Gravina sit 6th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gravina | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 12 |
| 13 | USD Palmese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 7 |
A question about USD Palmese vs Gravina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USD Palmese vs Gravina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gravina the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for USD Palmese.
- Where and when is USD Palmese vs Gravina played?
- USD Palmese vs Gravina is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Di Palma Campania, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.