USM Annaba vs NC Magra: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stade Ben Alli Youcef Tacha, Berrahal
The Footlab model makes USM Annaba the favourite at 58%, against 28% for a draw and 15% for NC Magra. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USM Annaba vs NC Magra?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate USM Annaba (1,699) and NC Magra (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USM Annaba have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; NC Magra have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | CA Batna(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | MO Bejaia(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 21, 2026 | JS Jijel(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MO Constantine(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | CR Béni Thour(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | JS Bordj Ménaïel(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Nrb Beni Oulbene(away) | 0-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 21, 2026 | IB Khémis El Khechna(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Teleghma(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | US Biskra(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 USM Annaba win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 NC Magra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | NC Magra 1-0 USM Annaba | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | USM Annaba 2-1 NC Magra | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 20, 2019 | USM Annaba 0-1 NC Magra | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 7, 2018 | NC Magra 1-0 USM Annaba | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: NC Magra vs USM Annaba on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
USM Annaba score 1.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; NC Magra score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Annaba | 1.3 | 0.6 | 9 | 2/15 | 6/15 |
| NC Magra | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USM Annaba sit 6th in Ligue 2 (48 points from 30 matches) and NC Magra sit 7th (39 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | USM Annaba | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | NC Magra | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 30 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USM Annaba vs NC Magra?
- The Footlab model makes USM Annaba the favourite at 58%, against 28% for a draw and 15% for NC Magra.
- Where and when is USM Annaba vs NC Magra played?
- USM Annaba vs NC Magra is played on September 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Ben Alli Youcef Tacha, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.